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Three Things: These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact your backend pricing this week. 1) The Talking Fed, 2) Central Bank Palooza and 3) Inflation Nation. 1) The Talking Fed: On Wednesday we get the Fed’s latest Interest Rate Decision and Policy statement. The bond market has a 50BPS rate
READ MOREInflation Nation: November Producer Price Index was hotter than expected with the MOM Headline reading increasing by 0.3% vs. est. of 0.1%, plus October was revised higher. YOY, it matched forecasts at 7.4% which is lower than October’s YOY upwardly revised pace of 8.1%. Core PPI (ex food and energy) was also higher than expected.
READ MOREU.S. producer prices rose faster than expected in November, in another sign that inflation isn’t coming down as fast as the Federal Reserve would like. The producer price index rose by 0.3% from October, more than the 0.2% consensus, and October’s number was also revised up to 0.3% from 0.2%. The picture was flattered by volatile food
READ MORETrade Balance: The October total Goods and Services Trade Balance was -$78.2.B vs est of -$79.1B but it was much larger than September’s level of -$73.28B as exports fell to lowest level since June. Central Bank Palooza: The Reserve Bank of Australia increased their main interest rate by 25BPS which was widely expected. Interest rates
READ MOREU.S. job growth rose faster than expected in November as the labor market remained resilient in the face of higher interest rates, scorching-hot inflation and mounting recession fears. Employers added 263,000 jobs in November, the Labor Department said in its monthly payroll report released Friday, topping the 200,000 jobs forecast by Refinitiv economists. It marks a
READ MOREFederal Reserve Chair says the path ahead for inflation remains “highly uncertain.” Powell said inflation forecasts of private-sector forecasters or of Federal Open Market Committee participants broadly show a significant decline over the next year. However, forecasts have been predicting just such a decline for more than a year, while inflation has moved stubbornly sideways.
READ MORETaking it to the House: Weekly Mortgage Applications fell by -0.8%, led by a steep decline of -12.9% in Refinance Applications, Purchase Applications were actually up 3.8%. The October Pending Home Sales Index was better (less worse) than expected -4.6% vs. est. of -5.2% Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: November ADP Employment Change was much weaker than
READ MOREHome prices declined by 30% during the Great Recession of 2008-2009. The housing market is on much solid foundation this round. Given so much news media coverage about the potential for home price pullback, it is worth visiting the fundamentals related to the current cycle versus the last. – 20 more jobs today and no
READ MOREThree Things: These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact your backend pricing this week. 1) Inflation Nation, 2) Jobs, Jobs, Jobs and 3) The Talking Fed. 1) Inflation Nation: We will get the Fed’s preferred key measure of inflation (Core PCE) on Thursday. Expectations are that it will continue to
READ MOREEnergy costs typically go up in the winter because people are using more electricity. Aside from a basic maintenance check on your heating system, here are some easy ways to cut down on this expense. Keep the Heat In Weatherstrip your doors and windows, and eliminate drafts by caulking cracks and gaps. This will save
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