Job Numbers Analysis

  • January 6, 2017
  • no comment
  • realestatelife

This is a mixed bag. The headline Non Farm Payrolls was lower than expectations by 22,000, but the revision to the prior two months were + 19,000…so that is a wash. The wage data was higher than expected. The headline Non Farm Payroll is positive for pricing, but in totality, this report really isn’t weak

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November JOLTS / Wholesale Inventories

  • January 10, 2017
  • no comment
  • realestatelife

November JOLTS 5.552M vs. estimates of 5.555M. November Wholesale Inventories 1.0% vs. estimates of 0.9%. Generally, neither of these is a major factor in pricing.

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Weekly Jobless Claims Rise by 10,000

  • January 12, 2017
  • no comment
  • realestatelife

Weekly jobless claims rose by 10,000 to 247,000 last week. That came in lower than the 255,000 estimate. The prior week was revised higher by 2,000 to 237,000

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Import / Export Prices

  • January 12, 2017
  • no comment
  • realestatelife

Import Prices MOM 0.4% vs. estimates of 0.7%. Export Prices MOM 0.3% vs. estimates of 0.1%. No sign of inflation from overseas as our Import prices were about half of market expectations. A slight positive for MBS and interest rates this morning.

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December Retail Sales Miss Expectations

  • January 13, 2017
  • no comment
  • realestatelife

The Commerce Department reports retail sales rose 0.6% last month, missing expectations for a rise of 0.7%. Excluding the volatile auto component, sales rose 0.2%, compared to views for a 0.5% increase.

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December Producer Prices Meet Expectations

  • January 13, 2017
  • no comment
  • realestatelife

The Labor Department reports prices at the wholesale level rose 0.3% in December, matching expectations. Prices excluding the volatile food and energy components rose 0.2%. Wall St expected a rise of 0.1%.

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January Consumer Sentiment Little Changed

  • January 13, 2017
  • no comment
  • realestatelife

A closely-watched gauge of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan came in at 98.1 in January. That’s down a tick from December’s reading of 98.2. Economists were looking for the reading to increase to 98.5.

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Empire Manufacturing Slowed in January

  • January 17, 2017
  • no comment
  • realestatelife

The New York Federal Reserve’s gauge of manufacturing activity in the region fell in January. The gauge declined to a reading of 6.50 from a downward revised December reading of 7.60 in December. Wall Street had anticipated a smaller decline to a reading of 8.50. Readings above 0 point to expansion, while those below indicate

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Consumer Prices Rise as Expected

  • January 18, 2017
  • no comment
  • realestatelife

The Labor Department reports prices at the consumer level increased 0.3% in December, matching the estimate. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, prices were up 0.2%, also matching expectations.

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Home Builder Sentiment

  • January 18, 2017
  • no comment
  • realestatelife

Home Builders Sentiment 67 vs. estimates of 70. Last month was revised lower from 70 to 69. Anything above 50 is good. Not a factor in interest rate pricing.

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