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MBS OVERVIEW Taking it to the House: We saw a nice bounce in Weekly Mortgage Applications after several weeks of declines. Total Applications were up 7.2% with Purchases up 7.6% and Refinances up 6.0% Inflation Nation: The May Headline Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a MOM contraction of -0.3% vs. est. of -0.1%. YOY, it
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:40 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is down -19 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Inflation Nation: Is inflation cooling? No. Is it worse than expected? No. The Headline May CPI MOM reading showed yet another increase, this time by 0.1% vs. est. of 0.2%. YOY, CPI was
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 3:30 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is up +14 BPS with 90 minutes left to trade. Treasury Dump: We had two auctions today. The 3 year note saw $40B go off at a high yield of 4.202% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.70. The 10 year note saw $32B
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW There are no domestic events today MBS prices improved from 9:30 am ET levels, the 10 still higher but 2 bps lower than 9:30 am at 3.74%. There were data points today. Markets looking toward next week with FOMC on Wednesday and inflation data with may CPI and PPI released on Tuesday and
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is up +26 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Domestic Flavor: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: Initial Weekly Jobless Claims were higher than expected, up 261K vs. est. of 235K. The more closely watched 4 week moving average inched upward to 237K. Continuing Claims
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is down -21 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Taking it to the House: Weekly Mortgage Applications fell by only -1.4%. Purchases were down -1.7% and Refinances were flat at -0.7%. Trade Balance: The April Goods and Services Trade Balance was $-74.6B
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 pm EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is up +6 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Optimism?: The June IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Survey came in at 41.7 vs May’s level of 41.6, so it remains extremely low. The expectations were for 45.2 Central Bank Palooza: The Reserve Bank
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 pm EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is down -15 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Domestic Flavor: Rosie the Riveter: April Factory Orders were lighter than expected, 0.4% vs est of 0.5% and more than half of March’s pace of 0.9%. Services: The May national ISM Non
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 3:30 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is down -25 BPS with 90 minutes left to trade. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: Its Big Jobs Friday and we got a mixed bag of data. You can read the official BLS release here. Here is the Tale of the Tape: Jobs: May Non
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is up +20 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Domestic Flavor: Rosie the Riveter: The 1st QTR Non Farm Productivity was revised higher vs its original release, -2.1% vs -2.7%. Unit Labor Costs were revised downward materially, from 6.3% down to 4.2%.
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