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MBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is down -9 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. There were no domestic events today. On Deck for Tomorrow: Richmond Fed Manufacturing, 2 year Treasury note auction. Check the main page for Bryan’s video break down SIGMA RESEARCH, INC. THE SHIRMEYER REPORT
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW Three Things: These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact your backend pricing this week. 1) Inflation Nation, 2) Central Bank Palooza and 3) GDP 1) Inflation Nation: We get the Fed’s key inflation gauge on Friday with PCE as well as Personal Incomes and Spending. Will this follow
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is down -13 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Taking it to the House: December Existing Home Sales were a little better than expected, 4.02M units on an annualized basis vs. est. of 3.96M and not far off November’s pace of 4.08M Jobs, Jobs,
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is up +11 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Domestic Flavor: Taking it to the House: Weekly Mortgage Applications rose by 1.2% thanks to a big gain of 5.1% in Refinance Applications. Purchase Applications were basically flat at -0.5% The Talking Fed:
READ MOREMore comments from St. Louis Fed James Bullard. He expects the central bank to end its “front-loading” of aggressive interest-rate hikes by early next year and shift to keeping policy sufficiently restrictive with small adjustments as inflation cools. “You do have to think about what the reasonable level is,” said Bullard, who has become Wall Street’s
READ MORELabor Department data released Friday morning showed the US economy added 263,000 jobs in September, a slower pace than the previous month but probably not enough for those who want the Fed to pause sooner rather than later. Industry expert Barry Habib had the following gleanings from the household survey. Remember, the household survey is
READ MOREJobs, Jobs, Jobs: Its Big Jobs Friday! You can read the official BLS release here. Here is the Tale of the Tape: Jobs: September Non Farm Payrolls (NFP) increased by 263K vs. est. of 250K August NFP remained at 315K July NFP revised from 526K upward to 537K The rolling 3 month moving average is
READ MOREWRAP UPUMBS 5.5: 99.08 (+11bps)10yr yield: 4.01CPI data at 8:30am ET tomorrow. Markets expect higher number than June, so unless MUCH higher I don’t think way we will see too much of a negative response but there is definitely a possibility. If shelter costs and core CPI show more improvement than expected we could see
READ MOREWRAP UPUMBS 5.5: 98.73 (-16bps)10yr yield: 4.03 Mtg bonds bouncing around through the day, but not enough to see lenders reprice worse. Not a lot of risk floating into tomorrow. Rates sheets this morning will improve, and reprice risk on the day is low. Bonds here and abroad got a big boost overnight from soft
READ MOREJobs, Jobs, Jobs: We saw a pretty sizable increase in the number of announced corporate job cuts per the September Challenger Job Cuts report which moved from 20,485 in August to 29,989 in Sept. Initial Weekly Jobless Claims were higher than expected (219K vs. est. of 200K) but the prior week was revised lower to
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