• January 20, 2023
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MBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is down -13 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Taking it to the House: December Existing Home Sales were a little better than expected, 4.02M units on an annualized basis vs. est. of 3.96M and not far off November’s pace of 4.08M Jobs, Jobs,

• January 11, 2023
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MBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is up +11 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Domestic Flavor: Taking it to the House: Weekly Mortgage Applications rose by 1.2% thanks to a big gain of 5.1% in Refinance Applications. Purchase Applications were basically flat at -0.5% The Talking Fed:

• November 13, 2022
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By: Matthew Graham Heading into this week, we knew that Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) would be critically important. It did not disappoint. CPI is one of two key inflation reports in the US.  PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) is the other big index, but because CPI comes out 2 weeks earlier, it gets almost all

• October 27, 2022
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The Internal Revenue Service today announced the tax year 2023 annual inflation adjustments for more than 60 tax provisions, including the tax rate schedules and other tax changes. Revenue Procedure 2022-38PDF provides details about these annual adjustments. New for 2023 The Inflation Reduction Act extended certain energy related tax breaks and indexed for inflation the energy efficient

• October 16, 2022
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Investing.com — U.S. retail sales were flat in nominal terms in September, below expectations and again highlighting the pressure on consumer spending power from high inflation. However, core retail sales, which strip out some of the more volatile elements of the consumer shopping basket, edged up 0.1%, slightly better than forecast, in an overall mixed

• October 13, 2022
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Inflation ran hotter than expected in September, continuing to squeeze U.S. households and worsen a political headache for President Biden with just one month until midterm elections. The Labor Department said Thursday that the consumer price index, a broad measure of the price for everyday goods including gasoline, groceries and rents, rose 0.4% in September

• October 12, 2022
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Inflation at the wholesale level rose more than expected in September as prices for everyday necessities remain at a multi-decade high, squeezing businesses and millions of American households. The Labor Department said Wednesday that its producer price index, which measures inflation at the wholesale level before it reaches consumers, rose 0.4% in September from the

• August 9, 2023
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WRAP UPUMBS 5.5: 99.08 (+11bps)10yr yield: 4.01CPI data at 8:30am ET tomorrow. Markets expect higher number than June, so unless MUCH higher I don’t think way we will see too much of a negative response but there is definitely a possibility. If shelter costs and core CPI show more improvement than expected we could see

• August 8, 2023
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WRAP UPUMBS 5.5: 98.73 (-16bps)10yr yield: 4.03 Mtg bonds bouncing around through the day, but not enough to see lenders reprice worse. Not a lot of risk floating into tomorrow. Rates sheets this morning will improve, and reprice risk on the day is low. Bonds here and abroad got a big boost overnight from soft

• August 10, 2022
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The Labor Department said Wednesday that the consumer price index rose 8.5% in July from a year ago, below the 9.1% year-over-year surge recorded in June.