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MBS OVERVIEW Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 July Coupon is currently flat at +2 BPS. Taking it to the House: May Building Permits were higher than expected as the annualized number hit 1.491M vs. est. of 1.423M and a small gain from April’s pace of 1.417M. Housing Starts were a big surprise to the upside,
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 July Coupon is currently down -5 BPS. Consumer Sentiment: The preliminary June UofM Consumer Sentiment Index hit 63.9 vs est of 60.0. The 5 year inflation expectations moved from 3.1% to 3.0% and the 1 year inflation expectations dropped from 4.2% down to 3.3% The Talking Fed: Fed
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 July Coupon is currently up 34 BPS. Retail Sales: The May headline Retail Sales showed a MOM increase of 0.3% vs. est. of -0.1%. Ex Autos, they were 0.1% which matched expectations and the Control Group was up 0.2% vs. est. of 0.0%. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: Initial Weekly
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 3:30 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 July Coupon is down -21 BPS with 90 minutes left to trade. The Talking Fed: The FOMC “paused” their path of raising their Fed Funds Rate and kept it at 5.25% but signaled future hikes ahead, making this a “hawkish pause”. You can read the
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW Taking it to the House: We saw a nice bounce in Weekly Mortgage Applications after several weeks of declines. Total Applications were up 7.2% with Purchases up 7.6% and Refinances up 6.0% Inflation Nation: The May Headline Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a MOM contraction of -0.3% vs. est. of -0.1%. YOY, it
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:40 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is down -19 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Inflation Nation: Is inflation cooling? No. Is it worse than expected? No. The Headline May CPI MOM reading showed yet another increase, this time by 0.1% vs. est. of 0.2%. YOY, CPI was
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 3:30 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is up +14 BPS with 90 minutes left to trade. Treasury Dump: We had two auctions today. The 3 year note saw $40B go off at a high yield of 4.202% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.70. The 10 year note saw $32B
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW There are no domestic events today MBS prices improved from 9:30 am ET levels, the 10 still higher but 2 bps lower than 9:30 am at 3.74%. There were data points today. Markets looking toward next week with FOMC on Wednesday and inflation data with may CPI and PPI released on Tuesday and
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is up +26 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Domestic Flavor: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: Initial Weekly Jobless Claims were higher than expected, up 261K vs. est. of 235K. The more closely watched 4 week moving average inched upward to 237K. Continuing Claims
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is down -21 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Taking it to the House: Weekly Mortgage Applications fell by only -1.4%. Purchases were down -1.7% and Refinances were flat at -0.7%. Trade Balance: The April Goods and Services Trade Balance was $-74.6B
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