February 8, 2023 – Economic News

  • February 8, 2023
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MBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is up +9 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade.  Taking it to the House:  Weekly Mortgage Applications increased by 7.4% after falling -9.0% the prior week. Purchase Applications were up 3.1% and Refinance Applications jumped 17.7% The Talking Fed:  Fed Governor Christopher Waller warns that interest

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February 7, 2023 – Economic News

  • February 7, 2023
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MBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is up +16 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Trade Balance: This data directly goes into the GDP calculations. The December Goods and Services Trade inBalance was a deficit of $-67.4B which was very close to the consensus estimates of $-68.5B Consumer

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February 6, 2023 – Economic News

  • February 6, 2023
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MBS OVERVIEW Three Things: These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact your backend pricing this week. 1) The Talking Fed, 2) Treasury Dump, and 3) Central Bank Palooza 1) The Talking Fed: After last week’s shift from unconditionally-hawkish to conditionally-hawkish, the markets have hedged (bet) that they FOMC would need

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February 3, 2023 – Economic News

  • February 3, 2023
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MBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is down -16 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: Its Big Jobs Friday, and we certainly got much stronger than expected “data” from the BLS.You can read their official release here. Here is the Tale of the Tape: Jobs:

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US job growth unexpectedly surges in January as economy adds 517,000 new positions

  • February 3, 2023
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U.S. hiring roared back to life in January as the labor market remained surprisingly resilient in the face of higher interest rates, scorching-hot inflation and mounting recession fears. Employers added 517,000 jobs in January, the Labor Department said in its monthly payroll report released Friday, easily topping the 185,000 jobs forecast by Refinitiv economists. It

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Fed raises interest rates by a quarter point but signals inflation fight’s not over

  • February 1, 2023
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The Federal Reserve on Wednesday raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a point, further slowing its aggressive campaign to cool the economy amid growing evidence that stubbornly high inflation is finally starting to ease.  The widely expected move puts the key benchmark federal funds rate at a range of 4.5% to 4.75%,

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February 1, 2023 – Economic News

  • February 1, 2023
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MBS OVERVIEW 4:00 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 February Coupon is up +37 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: The January ADP Employment Report showed 106K job adds which was well below the consensus estimates of 178K and a steep decline from December’s upwardly revised 253K. The December Job

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Private sector job growth cools to 106,000 in January, lowest in two years: ADP

  • February 1, 2023
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Hiring by U.S. companies slowed sharply in January, the latest sign that the historically tight labor market is finally starting to cool off, according to the ADP National Employment Report released Wednesday morning.  Companies added 106,000 jobs last month, missing the 178,000 gain that economists surveyed by Refinitiv had predicted. It marked the worst month for

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January 31, 2023 – Economic News

  • January 31, 2023
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MBS OVERVIEW Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: The 4th QTR Employment Cost Index showed that wages and benefits rose by 1.0% compared to the 3rd QTR which was below estimates of 1.1% and lower that the 3rd QTR gain of 1.2%. Taking it to the House: The November YOY Case Shiller Home Price Index showed housing prices in their

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Fed’s preferred inflation gauge cooled in December, but prices remain high

  • January 27, 2023
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An inflation gauge closely watched by the Federal Reserve showed signs of slowing in December, but it still remained abnormally high, according to new data released Friday. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index showed that consumer prices rose 0.1% from the previous month and rose 5% on an annual basis, according to the Bureau of

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