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MBS OVERVIEW Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 July Coupon is currently down at -23 BPS. Taking it to the House: May Existing Home Sales were 4.30M units on an annualized basis vs. est. of 4.250M. The Talking Fed: Fed Chair Powell completed two days of testimony. This time to the Senate Banking Committee. There were
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW Domestic Flavor: Taking it to the House: Weekly Mortgage Applications were flat at 0.5%. Refinances were down -2.1% and Purchases were up 1.5%. The Talking Fed: Fed Chair Powell will give his Semiannual Monetary Policy report to the Committee on Financial Services in the House today at 10 am ET. We already have
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 July Coupon is currently flat at +2 BPS. Taking it to the House: May Building Permits were higher than expected as the annualized number hit 1.491M vs. est. of 1.423M and a small gain from April’s pace of 1.417M. Housing Starts were a big surprise to the upside,
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 July Coupon is currently down -5 BPS. Consumer Sentiment: The preliminary June UofM Consumer Sentiment Index hit 63.9 vs est of 60.0. The 5 year inflation expectations moved from 3.1% to 3.0% and the 1 year inflation expectations dropped from 4.2% down to 3.3% The Talking Fed: Fed
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 July Coupon is currently up 34 BPS. Retail Sales: The May headline Retail Sales showed a MOM increase of 0.3% vs. est. of -0.1%. Ex Autos, they were 0.1% which matched expectations and the Control Group was up 0.2% vs. est. of 0.0%. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: Initial Weekly
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 3:30 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 July Coupon is down -21 BPS with 90 minutes left to trade. The Talking Fed: The FOMC “paused” their path of raising their Fed Funds Rate and kept it at 5.25% but signaled future hikes ahead, making this a “hawkish pause”. You can read the
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW Taking it to the House: We saw a nice bounce in Weekly Mortgage Applications after several weeks of declines. Total Applications were up 7.2% with Purchases up 7.6% and Refinances up 6.0% Inflation Nation: The May Headline Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a MOM contraction of -0.3% vs. est. of -0.1%. YOY, it
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 4:40 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is down -19 BPS with 60 minutes left to trade. Inflation Nation: Is inflation cooling? No. Is it worse than expected? No. The Headline May CPI MOM reading showed yet another increase, this time by 0.1% vs. est. of 0.2%. YOY, CPI was
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW 3:30 EST – Our benchmark FNMA MBS 6.00 June Coupon is up +14 BPS with 90 minutes left to trade. Treasury Dump: We had two auctions today. The 3 year note saw $40B go off at a high yield of 4.202% and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.70. The 10 year note saw $32B
READ MOREMBS OVERVIEW There are no domestic events today MBS prices improved from 9:30 am ET levels, the 10 still higher but 2 bps lower than 9:30 am at 3.74%. There were data points today. Markets looking toward next week with FOMC on Wednesday and inflation data with may CPI and PPI released on Tuesday and
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